Can Zohran Mamdani’s Volunteer Military Pull Off an Election Day Upset?

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This text was produced in partnership with THE CITY, a nonprofit newsroom overlaying New York Metropolis.

On a glum Wednesday night lately, most New Yorkers have been tucked away of their residences, avoiding the persistent drizzle. That is precisely the state of affairs Mohit Sani and Dylan Halper have been hoping for.

Halper drums a cheery knock on the door of an Higher East Facet condo. A girl named Maria steps out, pushing her yapping canine behind her.

“My name is Dylan, and this is Mohit. We’re volunteers with Zohran Mamdani’s campaign for mayor,” Halper begins.

Simply 18 years outdated however already a canvassing veteran, Halper is partnered up with Sani, a first-timer, so Halper takes the lead.

“Democrat or Republican?” Maria asks skeptically. She’s by no means heard of Mamdani earlier than.

“Democrat,” Halper reassures her, “he wants to freeze the rent for rent-stabilized tenants.”

“That’s me!” she exclaims.

Quickly, Maria says the magic phrases: “He’s got my vote.” She even thanks the 2 volunteers for coming.

Halper and Sani are among the many hundreds of volunteers who’re aiming to elect the 33-year-old Mamdani as the following mayor of New York Metropolis.

A state Meeting member from Queens and a member of the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA), Mamdani is operating on a platform of affordability: free buses, city-run grocery shops, common little one care and a hire freeze.

To this point, he’s crushed expectations, rising from a pack of progressives as a robust quantity two within the polls. His progressive marketing campaign plank, delivered through slick social media movies, earned him help from the “terminally online.” And he’s maxed out his marketing campaign contributions with particular person donors: Over 27,000 folks have donated to his marketing campaign — 12,000 greater than metropolis Comptroller Brad Lander, the candidate with the following highest variety of donors. To his supporters, Mamdani is a younger Bernie Sanders or a socialist Barack Obama.

However to his detractors, he’s inexperienced, a “show pony,” a nepo child and even an antisemite. If elected, Mamdani can be the primary Muslim mayor of New York, and his views on what he unapologetically refers to as a genocide in Gaza have made him susceptible to assaults from pro-Israel candidates — the mainstream place for NYC politicians, who’ve made visits to Israel half and parcel of the job.

And he’s nonetheless lagging former Gov. Andrew Cuomo, who has been polling first within the contest earlier than he even entered it and has maintained a strong lead since, though a latest Emerson ballot has Mamdani closing the hole to single digits within the last spherical of a ranked selection voting tally. Cuomo has raised probably the most cash and is backed by well-funded native tremendous PACs known as unbiased expenditure teams.

However the Mamdani marketing campaign is banking on one factor to set them aside: their floor sport.

In keeping with the marketing campaign, almost 30,000 folks have signed as much as canvass, they usually’ve knocked on greater than 750,000 doorways. Mamdani has known as it “the largest volunteer operation in NYC history.” It’s actually the most important one occurring this election cycle.

Mamdani’s canvassers are in each borough, each evening of the week.

It may be a thankless job. Within the metropolis, volunteers should work their means into condo buildings, previous doormen and buzzer programs — typically solely to seek out themselves on the bottom ground of one among New York’s notorious walk-ups. And most of the time, nobody is residence.

However that doesn’t discourage Halper and Sani.

Halper, a member of the DSA like Mamdani, is impressed by the candidate’s imaginative and prescient for New York Metropolis. However like many different volunteers, he’s not proof against the pull of one thing far more tangible — merch.

Zohran Mamdani canvassers Dylan Halper and Mohit Sani attempt to attain voters on the Higher East Facet on Might 21, 2025.

All Mamdani volunteers obtain a “ZetroCard” — it appears like a MetroCard, however with areas on the again to mark what number of instances they’ve canvassed. Halper has heard that if he fills out the cardboard quick sufficient, he’ll get a poster — a coveted memento that he can’t get anyplace else.

In truth, not one of the marketing campaign’s swag is accessible for buy — a results of New York Metropolis’s marketing campaign finance legal guidelines, based on Mamdani spokesperson Andrew Epstein. It’s turned Zohran-branded objects into cult collectibles — like vibrant yellow bandanas adorned with basic NYC iconography comparable to pigeons and sizzling canines — worn by volunteers or tied onto their tote baggage.

And the one option to get one is to point out up — one thing the marketing campaign makes very straightforward to do.

Low Barrier To Entry

“I’ve thought about volunteering for other things, and no one replies to your emails, or you have to apply and go do this thing, and then they only have one shift a week — and it’s when you work,” mentioned Anna Henderson, 25.

However the Mamdani signups are easy and quite a few: “When I decided to do it, I just clicked on a day I could go in my neighborhood and just went,” Henderson mentioned. Now, she’s a seasoned Decrease East Facet canvasser.

The low barrier to entry — and the chance to canvass in your personal neighborhood — has advantages and downsides. On one hand, volunteers can pull in their very own neighborhood-specific data, like an area bus that was free resulting from Mamdani’s laws.

On the opposite, it leaves some neighborhoods like Williamsburg and Astoria canvass-dense, whereas the complete South Bronx has no canvasses in any respect.

One discipline lead in The Bronx, Maxwell Dickinson, ventured out on a Saturday afternoon with a various group of volunteers, together with a number of folks over 40, a significant demographic Mamdani wants however has not but cornered.

Initially from Miami, Dickinson now lives in Riverdale. He likes to open his canvassing conversations with Mamdani’s free bus platform and mentions common little one care if he sees a child within the condo.

“Personally, I’ve never mentioned that he’s in the DSA, especially being from Miami,” Dickinson mentioned, referring to that metropolis’s socialism-skeptical Cuban inhabitants. “But maybe that’s me being paranoid.”

The Bronx canvassers know that their borough is being underserved. Over espresso and pancakes at a diner, they chat after the canvass about methods to broaden their operation. One volunteer mentioned she thinks Parkchester can be receptive to Mamdani due to its giant Bengali inhabitants. One other advised that the marketing campaign accomplice with native organizations to assist get the phrase out.

“You need people who are from there,” Dickinson agreed.

From The Telephones To The Polls

Mamdani is following within the footsteps — actually — of one other NYC Democratic Socialist: Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. In 2018, Ocasio-Cortez touted her floor sport as important to her defeat of incumbent Rep. Joseph Crowley. Her worn-down footwear, as soon as displayed in a Cornell museum, turned a logo of how chatting with folks face-to-face may make the distinction for underdog candidates. (Ocasio-Cortez has not but made an endorsement within the mayoral race.)

However Ocasio-Cortez needed to mobilize voters in her district in The Bronx and Queens solely; Mamdani wants to succeed in folks throughout the 5 boroughs. The turnout for the congressional main was additionally extremely low — at solely 11.8% of registered Democratic voters — so the supporters Ocasio-Cortez reached via her door-knocking had an outsized impact.

As a result of Mamdani’s canvasses are principally accessible in neighborhoods the place many volunteers dwell, it’s straightforward to see the place his voter base lies: Bushwick and Bedford-Stuyvesant in Brooklyn, the East Village in Manhattan and Astoria in Queens supply probably the most frequent canvass alternatives at 5 days per week.

Zohran Mamdani canvassers Dylan Halper and Mohit Sani speak with an Upper East Side resident on May 21, 2025.
Zohran Mamdani canvassers Dylan Halper and Mohit Sani converse with an Higher East Facet resident on Might 21, 2025.

However the youthful, typically transplant-heavy inhabitants of these neighborhoods could not really prove for the election. In 2021, the west facet of Manhattan — from Greenwich Village as much as Columbia College — had a number of the highest voter turnout at between 30% to 40%, whereas Bushwick in Brooklyn noticed round 14%. Plus, youthful voters are infamous for staying residence: Solely 18% of registered Dems between 18 and 29 voted within the 2021 mayoral main, in comparison with over double that proportion for 70- to 79-year-olds. The median age of a New York main voter is 54.

Some Mamdani organizers try to vary that.

At first, Myesha Choudry canvassed for Mamdani all over the place from Hillside, Queens, to Brighton Seaside, Brooklyn, to Staten Island. She was particularly impressed by her conversations with small enterprise house owners in Jackson Heights.

“I was literally speaking about New York City politics in Bangla, in my native language, to New Yorkers who had been here for decades and decades,” she mentioned.

However not like these she spoke to, Choudry needed to succeed in individuals who haven’t lived within the metropolis lengthy sufficient to get a really feel for native politics — and should not plan to remain lengthy sufficient to care.

“I feel like it’s so important for young adults who have been living the dream in New York to uplift New York as well,” defined Choudry.

To get younger New Yorkers off of their telephones and into their communities, she was a part of creating Sizzling Ladies 4 Zohran. The group, which isn’t affiliated with the marketing campaign, hosts picnics, postering classes, raves, fundraisers and, in fact, canvasses.

Shiny and early on a Sunday morning, 15 of the Sizzling Ladies chatted and cheered as they made their means down Central Park West, papering lampposts with pink posters that paired a Mamdani plank with an instruction to not rank Cuomo — a place the official canvassers take, as nicely.

“Cuomo’s literally hiding from New Yorkers because he knows if he’s confronted about his platform, he’s screwed,” one mentioned, taping a poster. Cuomo has appeared at only a few candidate boards, and isn’t taking an on-the-street marketing campaign strategy. “I saw something like ‘New York deserves a hot mayor,’ and that’s true. Hot girls deserve a hot mayor.”

Spreading The Gospel

In comparison with Mamdani and many of the discipline, Cuomo has averted many public appearances, and for some, the sexual harassment allegations that drove him out of workplace — which Cuomo continues to disclaim — could also be disqualifying.

However his marketing campaign has amassed a formidable slate of boosters. Cuomo has picked up main endorsements from giant unions — even those that known as for his resignation in 2021 — whose cash, affect and members go a great distance in metropolis elections. He’s additionally targeted on courting Black clergy members in a bid to win over a demographic that helped propel Mayor Eric Adams to victory final cycle.

“The benefits of what he’s doing is to maintain a frontrunner status — to not let opponents attack you personally,” defined political guide Hank Sheinkopf. “They’re empty voices talking into a vacuum, and he’s not responding to them, which makes them less consequential.”

After all, the canvassers need Mamdani to win. And more and more, at the least to the volunteers, his marketing campaign looks like much less of an extended shot.

“I am not under any illusions that he has it in the bag,” mentioned Henderson from the Decrease East Facet. “But I don’t think it’s impossible. It doesn’t feel like a lost cause,” she mentioned. “I guess I’m canvass-pilled.”

After his first time canvassing, the expertise on the Higher East Facet has left Sani extra energized than when he started.

“I look at my past self, and I see someone who watched John Oliver, watched ‘The Daily Show,’ watched Hasan Minhaj, and I felt politically active — but when I look back, I did nothing,” Sani mused. “I was angry all day, but nothing happened from that anger.”

“Now, I do not watch John Oliver, I do not watch ‘The Daily Show,’ I do not watch Hasan Minhaj. And I’m a thousand times more politically active,” he continued. “And then I can go to bed at night, and I’m not stressed existentially about it.”

However inspiring 29,000 canvassers is probably not sufficient. With early voting beginning on June 14 and first day simply three weeks away, the volunteer military nonetheless has a variety of work to do to encourage voters — and it’s operating out of time.

Contained in the cramped vestibule of an Higher East Facet condo, Sani hits the buzzer. He’s pushed a number of thus far, with no reply. However this time, a garbled voice comes from the opposite facet, asking: Who’s there?

“I’m here to talk about Zohran,” Sani says, dashing via the phrases.

However the voice on the opposite finish is confused: “What?”

“I’m here to talk to tenants about Zohran Mamdani?” Sani tries once more. No acknowledgement.

One final strive: “I’m here to talk about the election?”

“Oh,” says the voice on the opposite finish, sounding disenchanted. “You woke me up. I was sleeping.”

“I’m sorry for waking you up,” Sani says. He’s genuinely contrite and, turning to Halper, asks, “Did I do something wrong?”

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