Intro. [Recording date: February 11, 2025.]
Russ Roberts: In the present day is February eleventh, 2025, and my visitor is historian and creator James Barr. I reached out to him after current occasions in Syria–the fall of Assad–and I noticed I had no concept how Syria turned Syria, together with another issues I did not know concerning the Center East, in fact. It is a lengthy checklist.
However, after some research, I found a ebook, A Line within the Sand: Britain, France, and the Battle that Formed the Center East, by our visitor, James Barr. The ebook explores how the French-British rivalry formed the result of the world and the area within the aftermath of the autumn of the Ottoman Empire, which finally gave the world the nations of Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, and Israel. And, that is our dialog for right this moment.
James, welcome to EconTalk.
James Barr: Thanks for having me, Russ.
Russ Roberts: So, I wish to return in time. We have been speaking just a little bit concerning the Center East every now and then within the final 16 months, since October seventh. However, we will take a bigger panoramic view right this moment. And, we will return to the Ottoman Empire, which a lot of you listening may have heard of. However, it ends on the finish of World Struggle I. The Ottomans ally themselves with Germany and lose. And so, the run-up to that, with the understanding that that may occur, many international locations have been excited about, ‘Nicely, what is going on to occur to the Ottoman Empire?’
And so, I assumed we might begin with an obscure second in historical past, nevertheless it seems to have some significance, which is the Sykes-Picot, P-I-C-O-T, the Sykes-Picot Settlement. It is acquired a hyphen within the center, or a splash. James, being British, will in all probability know which one it’s. However, it is the Sykes-Picot Settlement, which began the West’s ongoing involvement in a serious method within the Center East. And, by Center East we imply way more than Israel, the place focus is right this moment, however on a much wider vary of the area. So, begin us off there in case you might.
James Barr: So, I believe earlier than we get to Sykes-Picot, you have been simply saying Russ concerning the Ottoman Empire. And, the Ottomans ruled–at the start of the First World Struggle, they nonetheless dominated the central Center East. So, by that I am pondering of Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, Israel, Palestine, and taking place the kind of edges of the Arabian Peninsula. So, that’s–from their capital in Istanbul, they managed the entire area of what was part of the Arab world.
They joined the Germans, as you mentioned, within the First World Struggle. And, the Germans satisfied the Ottoman Sultan to declare a Holy Struggle towards, effectively, Britain and France, however actually this was angled on the British. As a result of the British had important Muslim populations in Egypt, which they’d run since 1882, which they seized in 1882; and likewise in India. And, India was a actually huge a part of this story, despite the fact that it is off the map, as a result of India was just about an important British colony at the moment.
Russ Roberts: I ought to simply point out, I do not assume I did, I apologize: The Ottoman Empire is Turkey. So, it is run by the Turks.
James Barr: It is run by the Turks, nevertheless it’s a multi-ethnic Empire, and it nonetheless is. Though it has turn out to be much more Turkish within the run-up to the First World Struggle, and there is the type of–yeah, there is a sort of Turkish ideology now. Which makes a few of the Arab topics of that Empire really feel more and more like second-class residents. And, I assume we’ll in all probability come again to that in a minute.
However so, the important thing factor is the First World Struggle begins. Famously, it was purported to be over by Christmas 1914, and naturally it wasn’t. The entire struggle turned slowed down on each the Japanese and the Western Fronts.
And, in Britain, folks began to assume, ‘Nicely, how can we win this struggle?’ And, there was a gaggle of people that have been generally known as the Easterners who believed that one possibility was to assault the Ottoman Empire, as a result of the prevailing view by the start of the twentieth century was that the Ottomans have been the ‘Sick man of Europe.’ They’d already misplaced a chunk–they used to have an empire that prolonged effectively into the Balkans in Japanese Europe, however they step by step misplaced these possessions over the earlier quarter of a century or so. And so, the British view, or the view amongst this faction contained in the British authorities, was that the Ottomans could be simple to knock out of the struggle.
So, the thought they got here up with was to assault Gallipoli, which is on the Dardanelles Peninsula. So, that is the very slim straits south of Constantinople, main from the Aegean into the Sea of Marmara in the direction of the Black Sea. And, that is about 150 miles from Constantinople, or Istanbul as I ought to name it.
So, the thought was: Seize the Ottomans by the throat, defeat them, after which march into Istanbul, after which that will be the Ottomans out of the struggle. And, that will allow the British and the Allies to open up a brand new entrance in Southern Europe and pressure the Germans to disperse their efforts. So, that was the intention of the factor.
However as you mentioned, in fact what that did–rather prematurely–was encourage a dialogue about what would occur to the Ottoman Empire as soon as this had occurred. And, taking into account this was assumed that it wasn’t going to be too troublesome to attain.
The British, in true British type, fashioned a committee which got down to attempt to examine choices: What might occur to the Ottoman Empire? And, there was a person known as Mark Sykes on this committee, and he was in his mid-30s. He had been elected a Member of Parliament for the east coast port of Hull in 1911, however he’d made his identify already as an knowledgeable on the Ottoman Empire. So, he’d written about it. He’d labored for the British Ambassador within the British Embassy in Istanbul earlier than the struggle. And, he’d written a few huge, thick books on the topic and traveled fairly extensively. And, he was a member of the landed gentry. His father was Sir Tatton Sykes. He was a devotee famously of church structure, milk pudding, and protecting his physique at a relentless temperature. And, Mark Sykes was his solely son–the solely son of this barely eccentric character.
And Sykes, actually by pressure of personality–he was a twinkly man–he was fairly convincing, and he took on plenty of the work of the committee as a result of he primarily had time on his arms. And, it was he who finally turned the British negotiator of what turned the Sykes-Picot Settlement.
The rationale the Settlement comes about is that the French discover out about what the British are pondering of. In addition they discover out that Britain had, throughout this time, had made a promise to the Arabs as effectively. Due to the jihad that I discussed, the British have been very fearful about the potential for a Holy Struggle. And, the best way that they determined they’d blunt that was by encouraging the ruler of Mecca–the axis level of the Islamic world–to stand up towards the Ottomans.
So, the Ottomans managed Mecca–in idea, however not likely. They did not actually have a very tight maintain on it. And, they persuaded Sharif Hussein–who, he himself claimed he was a descendant of Muhammad–they persuaded him to stand up in 1916. However, to do this, they made him this big–rather vague–but they made him fairly a giant promise.
Nicely, the French discovered about that promise by means of relatively nefarious methods. And, as soon as they found that, they then compelled the query of what would occur to the Ottoman Empire, as a result of they have been fearful about their very own pursuits.
And, we should always discuss a bit about these pursuits. As a result of, the French had gradually–they had affect within the Ottoman Empire going method, method again, going proper again to kind of the 1500s the place the Ottoman Sultan on the time had acknowledged that they have been the representatives of Christians residing in what we consider because the Holy Land–or what Christians consider because the Holy Land–in Israel, Palestine now. And, the French had fairly important cultural affect in what we now consider as Lebanon and Syria, primarily by means of monastic organizations and establishments, which supplied training.
And, a French education–if you can be taught by the monks of one in every of these monasteries–if you have been an Ottoman at the moment, that was fairly good. That was higher than an Ottoman state training. And so, in case you have been an aspiring Ottoman, kind of a center class Ottoman with aspirations, then you definately would ship your kids off to a French college the place they be taught French and they might be taught within the French method. So, the French had this kind of affect by means of that, primarily in what we now consider as Lebanon and Syria, they usually needed the British to acknowledge that place that they’d.
Russ Roberts: Simply to make clear: a reminder to listeners that at this level France and England are allies. They’ve these competing pursuits within the Center East, which we will discover right this moment, however they’re desperately engaged in a struggle towards Germany and Austria-Hungary. They’ve Russia as an ally as well–that they will lose in 1917 with the Communist Revolution. However, these are two allies who have been already anticipating that there is going to be a carcass to carve up on the finish of this horrible struggle, World Struggle I.
And, the opposite factor I wish to mention–Turkey was known as the Sick Man of Europe–but, the Ottoman Empire at this level is 400 or 500 years previous. So, the area of the world that we’re speaking about that may be very acquainted to us right this moment because the Center East–and once more to give attention to the 4 principal international locations which are going to get mentioned, Israel, Lebanon, Syria, and Iraq, and just a little Saudi Arabia as effectively, I assume alongside the way–they do not exist. They’re just–they are areas that Turkey is ruling in nominal phrases, however with, as you level out, not whole efficacy as a result of it is a big place and it is exhausting to increase your police or navy potential throughout such a big space.
And, all people is jockeying for affect on this space after the Struggle. Which would come with the Arab nationalists–which we will speak about, which I believe is your subsequent group–the Jews of what on the time is known as Palestine, or an space known as Palestine–but the Holy Land is nearly as good a reputation as any, as you counsel. However Jews around the globe additionally care about it.
And, you even have the folks living–the Arabs residing in these areas who do not precisely really feel connected to the Turks, to the Ottomans. So, that is the backdrop for this jockeying.
James Barr: Precisely. And, the Sykes-Picot Settlement cuts a line throughout all this. So, the French are available and François Georges-Picot is their man. And he comes from a household of French imperialists. He hears about what the British are as much as and he would not just like the sound of it. And, he will get himself appointed the French negotiator. And he involves London within the autumn of 1915 and begins banging his fist on the desk, primarily, and saying that the French will not settle for regardless of the British are as much as. The alliance is at stake, successfully. He manages to dramatize that extraordinarily successfully.
And, the British are fearful concerning the power of the alliance, Russ, as a result of though as you say, they’re allies, they’re comparatively current allies. I imply, just a little bit south of the place I dwell in London there’s a fort on the North Downs, which is the primary ring–line–of hills south of London, constructed within the Eighteen Nineties in case there was a French invasion. So, we’re not that far on from that, about 20 years after that fortress was constructed to withstand the French in case they invaded. So, there’s fairly important suspicions lurking under the floor.
And, François Georges-Picot performs on this very, very successfully, and the British notice they have to do a deal. And, Sykes is the person who goes to the highest ministers within the British authorities who’ve acquired an entire load of different issues to fret about–most importantly the query of conscription. As a result of the struggle had been fought by volunteers up thus far, however Britain was operating out of males they usually knew they have been going to have to begin calling folks up, and that was going to be obligatory. So, they have been way more fearful about that. This comes as a relatively unlucky interruption, actually. I believe most British politicians at the moment would have struggled to position Syria and Lebanon on a map themselves.
And, Sykes says, ‘I want to draw a line from the E of Acre to the final Okay in Kirkuk.’ And, he has a map. It is a sq. map, which he had helped draw again earlier than the struggle. And so, he proposes dividing the Center East alongside this diagonal line, and the French have been going to get many of the space to the north of it–either immediately, they have been going to regulate it, or they have been going to have some affect over it. And the British have been going to get the territory to the south.
And, underlying that’s this kind of British strategic idea that they need what they name a belt of English-controlled nation operating throughout the Center East from the Mediterranean Sea–the japanese coast of the Mediterranean Sea–right by means of to the border with what’s now Iran, was then generally known as Persia. And, the intention of that was to maintain all comers–keep the French, preserve the Russians, or whoever, the Germans–away from the approaches to India. That was the essential factor. So, it was defending the routes to India.
So, this strategic idea dates proper, proper again. It motivates what the British are doing by means of a lot of the nineteenth century with Russia.
Russ Roberts: And it consists of, as you level out within the ebook, once more a footnote of historical past that now could be principally forgotten however on the time was essential: the Suez Canal. So, they’re operating Egypt. They have the Suez Canal. Proper subsequent to the Suez Canal is the Sinai Desert, which isn’t precisely a buffer zone. It is a bodily buffer zone, however there’s no person there to have interaction with. After which instantly you are in Palestine and also you’re in Lebanon. And so, they have been very fearful, as you level out within the ebook, that they’d have an enemy of some form on the border of the Suez Canal, which is their lifeblood–and a lot of the world’s lifeblood–connecting India and elsewhere to Europe and the Mediterranean.
James Barr: Precisely. The canal, which was opened in 1869, had turn out to be actually, actually vital, notably to the British. It is owned by an Anglo-French consortium. However, yeah, it is completely important to the British. In order that’s all a part of the strategic idea.
The factor was, although, with Sykes-Picot, is that the 2 sides–the two men–could not agree about the way forward for what they known as Palestine at the moment. They each needed it. The British needed it for this strategic function that you’ve got simply outlined. And, the French needed it extra for causes of status. It was extra concerning the non secular significance of the world that they needed it, though that additionally was undoubtedly a think about British pondering. However, essentially, it was a slightly–two barely totally different goals, mentalities at play right here.
Russ Roberts: However, I derailed you. You have been going to speak about Mecca and Sharif Hussein and his interactions with the British and the way that continues on into the time we’re speaking about.
James Barr: So, Sharif Hussein does stand up towards the Ottomans in 1916. However, the revolt that he requires is a little bit of a catastrophe as a result of the British hadn’t actually thought sufficient about how they have been going to assist it. And so, inside a number of months it begins to peter out.
And, the person who goes in to attempt to repair it has turn out to be very well-known. It is Lawrence of Arabia, as he is now known–Thomas Edward Lawrence. He was then in his 20s. He’d been an archeologist earlier than the struggle. He’d labored in Syria. And, he had a desk job in Cairo and was fed up with that. He was additionally in all probability relatively responsible, as a result of two of his brothers had been killed combating within the struggle on the Western Entrance. And there he was, drumming his fingers on a desk, charting Ottoman Military troop actions within the intelligence division in Cairo. So, he was itching to do one thing, and he principally carved himself a job to exit and take a look at the state of affairs on the bottom and to make suggestions.
However actually, what he needed to do is to seek out himself a correct job. Which he acquired.
And so, he then spent the subsequent two years of the struggle attempting to show the Arab revolt into one thing. And he succeeds in that in an enormous method, far past anybody’s expectations. The Arabs captured Aqaba, which is the port on the head of the Pink Sea reverse Suez, in July 1917. After which, a yr later, they’re up in what’s now northern Jordan/southern Syria; they usually play a job within the closing offensive in that a part of the First World Struggle, within the Center East theater, the place proper on the finish of the struggle, the British, beneath Normal Allenby–they’ve already captured Jerusalem on the finish of 1917–and then they advance to Damascus within the closing weeks of the First World Struggle. And, Lawrence and the Arabs play an element in that.
And the motive that Lawrence is so eager to be concerned in that’s as a result of this takes the Arabs into the territory that Sykes has conceded to François Georges-Picot. As a result of the undercurrent of all that is that Lawrence hates Sykes. He thinks he is a complete novice. Yeah–he completely loathes him. He is solely encountered him, I believe, as soon as. However, at that time, Sykes advised him concerning the deal that he had struck. And, Lawrence is vehemently anti-French and thinks that it is a horrible deal on that degree. However he is additionally fairly pro-Arab. It is vital to not overstate this. Some folks are inclined to as a result of he turns into extra pro-Arab as time goes on. Essentially, he is a British imperialist; however he was additionally somebody who had labored with the Arabs and definitely was sympathetic to their ambitions.
And, I suppose perhaps we should always get on to the Arab nationalists at this level. As a result of, since, kind of from the late nineteenth century onwards, there’s a creating nationalist movement–as there may be throughout every kind of locations: throughout Europe and naturally with the Zionists as one other nationalist motion. Arab nationalism had been rising within the Ottoman Empire, partly due to this growing Turkish ideology, held at a kind of authorities degree, but additionally a lot, a lot broader issues like simply easy literacy and issues like that.
Individuals were–Arabs were–becoming a lot, way more conscious of their id and the truth that they’d a totally different id to their Turkish rulers.
And, there have been important teams that have been underground, actually, contained in the Ottoman Empire. So, Arab troopers, Arab officers inside the Ottoman Empire sort of drove this Arab consciousness. And, there have been secret societies inside the Ottoman Military, not likely rooting for independence, however they needed extra autonomy they usually needed higher prospects for themselves. This kind of is rising earlier than the First World Struggle, and the Arab Revolt helps to impress it. In order that by the tip of the primary World Struggle, there may be fairly a robust groundswell in favor of larger Arab autonomy.
Russ Roberts: And, in fact, the British have just a little little bit of a battle. They make some guarantees by means of numerous means and numerous those who they are going to be supportive of this want for self-determination on the a part of the Arabs within the space. And, in my checklist of nations, I forgot about Jordan. That is one other one which’s going to come back out of this stew after the Ottomans are defeated and the Turks are defeated on the finish of World Struggle I.
However, the Brits make guarantees to the Arabs that they’re going to be supportive of their want for self-determination. However, additionally they make guarantees to the Jews, which are–in 1917 there’s the Balfour Declaration, which is a bit ambiguous, nevertheless it suggests assist for a Jewish homeland within the space that on the time is named Palestine. And, that is, in fact, one thing of a zero-sum recreation for what we name the Holy Land. There are many components of this area that will get Arab rulers, however this one little half, which is the place I dwell, is contested then and nonetheless contested now. However, we’ll get to that.
However, let’s get to the–World Struggle I ends. There’s the Paris Peace Convention at Versailles. We’re in roughly in 1919. What occurs at Versailles? Woodrow Wilson, in fact, goes to stay his oar in, and there is a groundswell of international–I might name it anti-imperialism to some extent, however a sympathy for self-determination that Wilson is the champion of. And, how does that play out on this a part of the world?
James Barr: So, I imply, it is troublesome. In a method, it would not play out as a result of the British and the French work–
Russ Roberts: Did not need it to–
James Barr: labored to undermine it. However, you might be completely proper. So, the Individuals joined the struggle in 1917. Am I proper?
Russ Roberts: I believe it is 1918. I am undecided. Anyway, close to the tip.
James Barr: I assumed it was earlier than that. My mind has instantly gone. However, the Individuals joined the struggle. And, as they accomplish that, Wilson makes this great–he actually assaults all the imperial powers and kind of says, ‘A plague upon you all.’ And, the British and the French really feel very, very susceptible. And, we’ll come again to Balfour as a result of the Balfour Declaration rises immediately out of this discomfort, in case you like, or at the least it is an try to get ‘spherical it.
However, on the finish of the struggle, you have got the Peace Convention, Lawrence’s kind of wartime comrade, Faisal, who’s Sharif Hussein of Mecca’s son–if you bear in mind again to Sharif. Sharif Hussein begins the revolt. Faisal is his son.
Lawrence identifies Faisal because the friendliest of Hussein’s sons, the person who’s more than likely to frankly do what he desires. And, Faisal brings a delegation to Paris, and Lawrence acts because the delegation’s interpreter. And, there’s at all times a little bit of a suspicion about how a lot he’s translating and the way a lot he was simply ad-libbing. [More to come, 26:07]